How my predictions are faring, by Ray Kurzweil

We will never be able to thank Ray Kurzweil enough, for his many inventions, books and papers. It does not matter whether each prediction was accurate, much less accurate by date.

Before Kurzweil, I never heard anyone suggest that the growth of man-tool-computer-brain power had been increasing, at an accelerating rate, for 5,000 years. Before Kurzweil, despite 50+ years of heavy computer experience, I never heard that we were all heading towards having 1,000 computers each, at a cost of around $1,000. Before Kurzweil, my wife would have had a much more limited career as Broward County Librarian for the Blind and Physically Handicapped (flatbed scanner, Omni font OCR, print to speech for the blind, text to speech, music synthesizer and speech recognition).

Implicit in this is Moore’s Law (computer power doubles every two years, as costs drop) and Metcalf’s Law (the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users). These suggest that the future acceleration of our combined brainpower will be near vertical, especially as we will live longer healthier lives.

Now we have an incredible, “Kurzweil, How my predictions are faring paper,” with many great charts. It would be even better with a combined brainpower chart.

Thank you again Ray, for showing why the best is yet to come and it is coming so fast.

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